Long-range box office tracking for The Marvels suggests not many Marvel Cinematic Universe fans are interested in watching Carol Danvers’ next blockbuster feature, at least in theaters.

According to Boxoffice Pro, the upcoming MCU sequel is currently tracking to earn between $50 million and $75 million in its opening weekend at the domestic box office. If The Marvels comes in on the lower end of projections, the superhero movie would set an unfortunate new record in the MCU for the worst opening weekend ever. The Incredible Hulk (2008) currently holds that record with an opening weekend of $55.4 million, followed by Ant-Man (2015) with $57.2 million. Pre-sales trends are currently 69 percent behind the pace of Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 and 42 percent behind Eternals.

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Even if The Marvels came in on the higher end of projections, $75 million would still be less than half of the $153.4 million the first installment in the MCU sub-franchise, Captain Marvel, opened to back in 2019. Captain Marvel ended its theatrical run with $426.8 million domestically while The Marvels is currently tracking for a final domestic haul of $189 million.

While MCU movies have recently not been as profitable as they were pre-pandemic, all titles since Spider-Man: No Way Home (2021) have posted $100 million-plus opening weekends. Spider-Man: No Way Home debuted with $260M, followed by Doctor Strange in the Multiverse of Madness with $187M, Thor: Love and Thunder with $144M, Black Panther: Wakanda Forever with $181M, Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania with $104M and Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 with $118M.

After an initial report stated The Marvels‘ production budget at $140 million, Disney disclosed in its company filings that the upcoming Marvel superhero movie actually cost $270 million. This makes The Marvels the most expensive title of Phase 5, beating Ant-Man and the Wasp: Quantumania ($200M) and Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3 ($250M), as well as the Disney+ limited series Secret Invasion ($212M). At $270M, The Marvels also becomes the highest-budgeted film ever helmed by a Black woman, with Nia DaCosta dethroning Ava DuVernay, who directed the $100 million-budgeted A Wrinkle in Time (2018).

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“Carol Danvers aka Captain Marvel has reclaimed her identity from the tyrannical Kree and taken revenge on the Supreme Intelligence. But unintended consequences see Carol shouldering the burden of a destabilized universe,” reads the synopsis for The Marvels. “When her duties send her to an anomalous wormhole linked to a Kree revolutionary, her powers become entangled with that of Jersey City super-fan, Kamala Khan aka Ms. Marvel, and Carol’s estranged niece, now S.A.B.E.R. astronaut Captain Monica Rambeau. Together, this unlikely trio must team-up and learn to work in concert to save the universe as The Marvels.”

The Marvels opens in theaters on Nov. 10, as part of Phase 5 of the MCU.

Source: Boxoffice Pro

 Long-range box office tracking for The Marvels suggests a less-than-stellar opening for the upcoming Marvel Cinematic Universe sequel.  Read More